Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2016/iii/paper-211/5/a/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 211 5 a Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Backward induction makes every adapted and integrable: the conditional expectation of an integrable random variable is integrable, and . The Snell envelope recursion directly gives , so is a supermartingale.
If is a submartingale, iterating its defining inequality gives . Starting at and applying the tower property of conditional expectation backwards showsThis last conditional expectation is a true martingale. The conclusions areIn the second case waiting until attains the optimal stopping value. It is not generally true that : that further equality holds when itself is a martingale.
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