Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2017/ii/paper-1/28k/a/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 ii Paper 1 28K a Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-05
For observation , the likelihood is proportional to . For , its logarithmic derivative is , vanishing uniquely at ; the logarithm is strictly concave. At or , monotonicity gives the boundary maximum. Thus the maximum-likelihood estimator isA uniform prior multiplies this likelihood by a constant. The beta-integral normalization therefore gives the posterior distributionIn particular the posterior mean is not automatically the optimal estimator for the weighted loss in the next part.
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