Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2017/iii/paper-206/5/c/solution

A zero-mean autoregressive process of order one satisfies
where is white noise with variance . A causal time series uses present and past innovations only. For the series
has mean-square convergence because , and it supplies the causal weakly stationary process. Its variance is . For , only the common innovations contribute to the autocovariance:
Evenness then gives
When , the signs alternate; when , the process is white noise. With nondegenerate innovations, does not give a causal finite-variance stationary solution. These covariance calculations need uncorrelated innovations, not Gaussianity; Gaussian innovations additionally yield a Gaussian process.

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