Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2018/ii/paper-3/30k/a/solution

Suppose inductively that
The observation innovation is
so its conditional variance is and its conditional covariance with is . The scalar static-state Kalman update therefore gives
Adding the known control shifts the conditional mean but not the variance, giving exactly
Since , induction yields
Every update is an affine conditioning operation on jointly Gaussian random variables, so

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