Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2020/ib/paper-1/20h/a/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ib Paper 1 20H a Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
A random time is a stopping time for the natural filtration of a Markov chain when for every . The Strong Markov property says that, conditionally on and , the process after is a fresh copy of the chain started from , independent of the pre- history.
Before capture define the half-separationFor , independence of the two moves gives the transition probabilitiesIgnore the holding steps. The resulting embedded chain is a biased random walk that moves left with probability and right with probability . Its expected number of moves needed to descend one level is ; this follows either from first-step analysis or from its drift . A non-holding move occurs with probability at each time, so its mean waiting time is two. Hence, for every , the expected time to go from separation to is
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