Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2021/iii/paper-204/2/c/solution

The events decrease, and an open path from reaches every exactly when the open cluster of is infinite. Therefore continuity from above of a measure gives
Each depends on finitely many sites, so is a polynomial and hence continuous. Given , choose with . For , monotonicity and the finite-event continuity yield
Thus from the right.

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