Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2022/iii/paper-204/1/b/solution

Let be the uniform spanning tree measure on the finite connected induced graph . Uniform spanning-tree edge indicators are negatively associated: increasing events depending on disjoint edge sets have nonpositive covariance. Together with the spatial Markov property, this implies the free-boundary monotonicity under graph enlargement: for every increasing cylinder event , is eventually nonincreasing once contains all edges on which depends.
Define the free uniform spanning forest measure by
for increasing cylinder events. These limits determine a unique probability measure, independent of the exhaustion; equivalently, converges weakly to on the product space.

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