Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2022/iii/paper-210/2/solution

A kernel for density estimation is an integrable function with . For bandwidth , the kernel density estimator is
A kernel of order ell has
Let and be as in the question, put , and define the positive pilot bound
For every , form
The Lepski bandwidth selection method takes
Small bandwidths have little bias but wide intervals; the rule increases the bandwidth until the estimates cease to be mutually compatible.
The grid is geometric with ratio two. Its lower endpoint has order , while its upper endpoint is of order
For fixed , the oracle bandwidth
eventually lies between these endpoints. Its largest grid predecessor therefore exists, and the dyadic spacing gives
On , the true value belongs to every interval with . Their intersection is therefore nonempty, so
The intervals at and have a common point. Since decreases with ,
Using and gives
Because , enlarging the constant gives the required
For the final claim take for sufficiently large and use . The squared error on is at most a constant times
Off , boundedness of and the lower endpoint of the bandwidth grid give a deterministic polynomial bound on ; multiplying its square by is . Since and is independent of , this term is no larger than the target rate after changing the constant. Enlarging it once more covers the finitely many , proving the claimed adaptive mean squared error bound.

New to topics? Read the docs here!