Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2022/iii/paper-211/4/e/solution

The one-step predictable integrand is bounded by one. If were a martingale, its transform would be an integrable mean-zero random variable. Parts b–d show instead that it is nonnegative almost surely and strictly positive with positive probability, so its expectation is positive. This contradiction proves that cannot be a martingale.

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