Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2023/ia/paper-2/12f/b/solution

Let be the probability of extinction by generation . Conditioning on the initial individual's offspring gives
The events increase to eventual extinction, so and continuity gives . If is any other fixed point, induction from and monotonicity of gives for every . Hence , proving the Galton-Watson extinction fixed point characterization.

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