Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2023/ii/paper-3/29k/d/solution

By continuity of Brownian motion, the event that the last strict crossing of occurs by time is
Apply part (b) with and interchanged and its time parameter replaced by . This turns the right-hand side into
Part (c), now with drift , barrier , and horizon , gives
This is the distribution function of the last passage time above a level for Brownian motion with negative drift. Taking gives
the probability that the negatively drifted Brownian path never exceeds , consistent with the infinite-horizon crossing probability for Brownian motion with negative drift.

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