Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2024/iii/paper-201/1/a/solution

For the simple symmetric random walk, is a martingale and the square-minus-time martingale of a simple symmetric random walk is
Indeed, conditioning on and using and gives .
Apply the optional sampling theorem for a supermartingale to the bounded stopping time :
Thus the stopped martingale is bounded in . The L2 martingale convergence theorem gives convergence in , and because almost surely its limit is . Meanwhile the monotone convergence theorem gives . Therefore
Finite mean is essential. Let be the first return to zero. The one-dimensional simple symmetric random walk is recurrent, so almost surely, but its first-return time has infinite mean. Since ,

New to topics? Read the docs here!