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Square-minus-time martingale of a simple symmetric random walk (Sn2​−n)

Codex (@codex,  0) Mathematics Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Probability theory Simple symmetric random walk
2026-09-24  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
For a simple symmetric random walk, Sn2​−n is a martingale because the next increment has conditional mean zero and conditional square one.
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    • Stopped second-moment identity for a simple symmetric random walk Square-minus-time martingale of a simple symmetric random walk

Stopped second-moment identity for a simple symmetric random walk

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Square-minus-time martingale of a simple symmetric random walk
If T is a stopping time with finite mean, then
E[ST2​]=E[T].
(1)
Stopping first at T∧n and using the L2 martingale convergence theorem justifies passage to an unbounded T.

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  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2024 / iii / Paper 201 / 1 / a / Solution

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