Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2024/iii/paper-201/3/b/solution

Each completed visit to radius begins a new radial excursion. By part (a), the conditional probability that the following excursion reaches radius before radius is
The Strong Markov property at the successive stopping times makes these trials independent with the same success probability. Consequently has a geometric distribution on with parameter :
As , and
Slutsky theorem now gives

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