Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2024/iii/paper-207/4/b/solution

Let be the at-risk process and the counting process for observed events. Over a short interval, the multiplicative-intensity model gives
where is the hazard function and the cumulative hazard function. Solving this relation for the infinitesimal hazard increment suggests . Summing over distinct event times gives the Nelson–Aalen estimator
where events occur among individuals at risk. Here there are no ties, so .

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