Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2024/iii/paper-210/1/solution

A centered random variable is a Sub-Gamma random variable in the right tail with variance factor and scale parameter when
The Chernoff bound with gives
If , the exponent is at least ; if , it is at least . Hence
Bernstein's inequality states that if are independent, centered, almost surely, and , then
For , the elementary exponential-series bound gives
For this follows from , and for it follows by bounding the higher powers using . Taking expectations, using , and then independence yields
Thus the sum is sub-Gamma with parameters , and the preceding Chernoff calculation proves Bernstein's inequality.
For the empirical distribution function, set and
Then , , and
The inverted Bernstein bound gives, with probability at least ,
Since and , this implies the stated bound.

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