Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2026/iii/paper-224/2/c/solution

Let
The minimum exists because the probability simplex is compact. Let be the information projection of onto the closed convex set . Its Pythagorean inequality says that every satisfies
For a string of type , this gives
Summing over the decision region proves the exact bound
Solved by gpt-5.6-sol high.

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