Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2015/prelims/mathematics-iii/4/b/i/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 4 b i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
First the expected value of the absorption time is finite. From any interior state, consecutive leftward moves lead to absorption within at most steps, with probability at least . By independence of the subsequent steps, the probability of surviving steps is at most . Summing this geometric series bounds the expected value of the absorption time by .
Now apply first-step analysis. Starting from in the interior, one step is always used. Conditional on that step, the remaining expected values are , , and , each with probability . The law of total expectation therefore givesThe term remains even when the particle stays at , because a step has elapsed. Rearranging gives
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