Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2017/prelims/mathematics-iii/5/a/ii/solution

For a finite or countable partition of a set into events , the law of total probability states
The events are pairwise disjoint and have union , so countable additivity proves the formula. Terms with contribute zero and are omitted to avoid undefined conditional probabilities.

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