Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-options-i-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2009/m/m2/c/i/solution

At the first step, the chain enters state two with probability and state four with probability . The classes and are closed and disjoint, so only the first branch can reach state three. On the transition matrix is exactly the two-state matrix from part (b). Thus after the remaining steps, the probability of the second state in that class is
For it is zero, as the original matrix requires; this statement covers the zero-base exponent case without ambiguity.

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