Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2004/o/o4/solution
Past exam of the options II course of the University of Oxford 2004 O O4 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Let be densities or probability mass functions relative to a common measure, describing two simple hypotheses. A randomized hypothesis test is a measurable function , whose value is the conditional rejection probability. Fix . The Neyman-Pearson lemma states that a test with is most powerful among tests with size at most if it rejects where , accepts where , and randomizes as necessary on equality, for a threshold . Sets where are included in rejection. A likelihood-ratio quantile and boundary randomization supply such a test.
To prove optimality, let be any competitor with . Pointwise, the threshold rule makesIntegrating and rearranging givesThus no competitor of the permitted size has larger statistical power, proving the lemma. Randomization permits exact size when discrete observations cannot supply it with a deterministic rejection region.
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