Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2013/m4/f/solution

Write a first return time as , where for . It has mean and period two, so the stationary probability at one is . The periodic convergence theorem would give limits along even times and zero along odd times.
Here one can obtain them directly. Put , with . Splitting according to the first return gives the renewal equation
Induction gives for every : the right side is . Odd-time returns are impossible because every return interval is even. Therefore the exact set of limit points is
The sequence does not converge to the stationary mass , precisely because it is periodic.

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