Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-measure-and-martingales-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2021/1/a/i/solution
Past exam of the probability, measure and martingales course of the University of Oxford 2021 1 a i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Put . Both and its indicator function are measurable, and . Thus is an integrable random variable. Monotonicity of conditional expectation givesThe measurable-factor property of conditional expectation says that a bounded -measurable function satisfies for every integrable random variable . Here the factor need not be bounded. Apply that property first to and , then use monotone convergence on the nonnegative products, including the conditional version, to obtainAll the left-hand conditional expectations are well defined; the final one is finite almost surely because is an integrable random variable. Since almost surely, division now yieldsThis proves the conditional Markov inequality with a measurable threshold without assuming that is an integrable random variable. The measurable-factor rule, with its product-integrability condition, is also stated in the standard conditional expectation theory.[ref]
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