Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-measure-and-martingales-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2021/2/c/iii/solution

For , the bound ensures the finite moment . By Jensen's inequality, . The process is an adapted, nonnegative integrable random variable at each time, and independence gives
Thus is a submartingale, and . The Doob maximal inequality for a nonnegative submartingale states that for . Apply it with . Since the power function is increasing on ,
Combining this with the preceding bound gives
The result is a bound on the running maximum, which is why a maximal inequality for a submartingale, rather than an estimate of the single terminal random variable, is needed.[ref]

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