Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-measure-and-martingales-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2021/2/c/iii/solution
Past exam of the probability, measure and martingales course of the University of Oxford 2021 2 c iii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
For , the bound ensures the finite moment . By Jensen's inequality, . The process is an adapted, nonnegative integrable random variable at each time, and independence givesThus is a submartingale, and . The Doob maximal inequality for a nonnegative submartingale states that for . Apply it with . Since the power function is increasing on ,Combining this with the preceding bound givesThe result is a bound on the running maximum, which is why a maximal inequality for a submartingale, rather than an estimate of the single terminal random variable, is needed.[ref]
Probability: Theory and Examples (fifth edition) by Rick Durrett. §4.4, Theorem 4.4.2, printed p. 235: the submartingale maximal inequality
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