Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-statistics-and-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2008/m/4/solution

The moment generating function is wherever that expectation is finite. A useful continuity theorem says that if the moment generating functions are finite on a common open interval containing zero and converge pointwise there to the moment generating function of a probability distribution, then the corresponding variables converge in distribution to that law. Equivalently one may assume a finite limiting function on such a neighborhood, with the usual continuity at zero, and obtain the uniquely determined limiting law.
For the gamma density, integrating the exponential against the density and changing variable to gives
For the waiting time to one head, independence of successive tosses gives for . Summing the geometric series gives
The waiting times between consecutive heads are independent copies of , so their sum has moment generating function . Consequently
For fixed , numerator and denominator have leading terms and as . A fixed neighborhood of zero is inside the convergence domain for all sufficiently small , so the continuity theorem applies. The limiting distribution is
equivalently a chi-squared distribution with degrees of freedom.

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