Financial
data show approximate, scale-dependent regularities rather than an exact universal scaling
law. Heavy return tails can resemble
a power law over an intermediate range, but the fitted
exponent, cutoff and range depend on instrument, period and sampling.
A straight segment on
a log-log plot alone is not enough to establish
a power law.
For independent finite-
variance increments,
variance grows linearly with horizon and typical fluctuations scale
as Δt1/2. Central-limit aggregation can make longer-horizon returns more Gaussian even when short-horizon returns are heavy-tailed. Real
data can depart from
a single self-similar distribution because of
volatility clustering, changing regimes, asymmetric responses, intraday
seasonality and
market microstructure. Apparent different scaling of higher
moments may reflect intermittent volatility, but
moments estimated from rare tails can also be unstable or may not exist in an idealized
model.
Useful tests compare rescaled distributions,
structure functions and volatility
correlations across several scales, with
uncertainty estimates and checks for nonstationarity. Scaling is
a valuable approximate modelling guide over
a documented range, not proof that one
exponent describes every
asset and horizon or that historical tail behaviour fixes future extreme losses.