At fixed electrical output, improving efficiency from
η0 to
η1 reduces fuel and associated
combustion emissions by
1−η0/η1.
A change from
0.33 to
0.45 saves about 27%. If an illustrative large coal fleet emits
3.
6 Gt annually, that is nearly
1 Gt, exceeding
a hypothetical
0.
5 Gt national total and far exceeding
a 0.
1 Gt
electricity-sector total. Thus the comparison can be true on reasonable scale assumptions. It is not established by the
words “state of the art”: fleet
sizes, existing efficiencies, feasible retrofit
fractions and whether
UK electricity or all
UK energy is meant must be specified. Continued growth and rebound can offset technical savings, and the options are not mutually exclusive.