Distributed generation changes the shape of infrastructure rather than eliminating it. A 1 GW power station is large, but supplying a national mean demand of tens of gigawatts from smaller intermittent generators still requires transmission, distribution, power conversion, forecasting, balancing and often storage or dispatchable reserve. Geographic diversity can reduce weathercorrelations only if power can move between regions.
For scale, delivering 30 GW through a network is a continuous transfer of 30billionjoules each second. Even a distributed average installation of 3 kW per household needs ten million participating households to reach that power, before allowing for capacity factor. Solar roofs can reduce some local flows while export peaks or winter deficits increase others. District heat, offshore wind connections, interconnectors and fuel transport also have economies of scale.
Large centralizedassets can introduce single-point failure, slow construction and financing risk; modular systems can be installed incrementally and offer local control. Conversely, network reinforcement and seasonal adequacy cannot be inferred from the size of an individual panel. A defensible conclusion is that an effective mix may combine small generators with large shared infrastructure. The categorical claim that large-scale infrastructure has become obsolete does not follow from the existence of distributed generation.
