Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-statistics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2014/2/a/i/solution
Past exam of the statistics course of the University of Oxford 2014 2 a i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
For two simple statistical hypotheses with joint probability density functions and , fix a significance level . A randomized statistical test is the conditional probability of rejection given the data. Choose and, if necessary, randomization on the equality set so thatThe Neyman-Pearson lemma says that this is a most powerful test among all tests with test size at most :Thus the optimal ordering rejects where the alternative-to-null likelihood ratio is largest. On null-impossible observations with , the rejection probability is one. Randomization is dispensable whenever an ordinary threshold already attains the required test size.
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