Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-statistics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2023/1/c/iii/solution

The derivative of the log ratio is , so increases from zero to one on and decreases to zero on . Rejecting for a sufficiently small ratio therefore gives two tails with .
Under , Cochran's theorem gives the exact sampling distribution , independently of the unknown mean. Writing for its cumulative distribution function, the two cutoffs are determined by
The first equation calibrates the exact size of a statistical test. The second is , so both tails belong to one likelihood ratio cutoff. Hence the exact critical region is . Its two tail probabilities are not generally equal: equal-tailed chi-squared cutoffs give a different test.

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