Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-year-1-of-the-computer-science-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2003/calculus-probability-linear-algebra-discrete-mathematics-logic-and-proof-and-models-of-computation/5/b/ii/solution

Let be the number of heads in the initial allocation tosses. Then has the binomial distribution with parameters and . Given , the winning probability is , including the already finished games . The law of total probability and linearity of expectation give
Thus, for ,

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