Thickness-uncertainty limit in erosion-density sampling

ID: thickness-uncertainty-limit-in-erosion-density-sampling

The thickness-uncertainty limit in erosion-density sampling is the loss of reliable density information when uncertainty in a removed layer's thickness is no longer small relative to that thickness. Dividing a small measured mass by an uncertain small volume can become unstable even when the balance itself is precise.
For a locally planar layer, . If mass and area are fixed, the first-order relative standard uncertainty from thickness is . The approximation presumes the denominator is well separated from zero. The GUM's linear propagation is conditional on the measurement model and adequacy of the local approximation.[ref]
An original deterministic bound shows what linearization hides. Let measured thickness lie in , with . Then
Relative to the central estimate , the lower and upper departures have magnitudes and . The uncertainty is asymmetric because thickness enters a reciprocal.
For stipulated micrometres and micrometres, those departures are approximately 16.7% downward and 25% upward. A symmetric 20% interval is not the exact propagated bound. If , the allowed thickness approaches zero and the upper density bound is unbounded. Positive-thickness bounds in density sampling therefore need an experimentally defensible lower bound, rather than numerical clipping of an inconvenient result.
A difference between two surface positions can have a different uncertainty structure from two independent position measurements. If ,
A common additive position offset cancels, while a common scale error generally does not. The GUM identifies common instruments and standards as sources of input correlation.[ref] Simply adding two independent readout uncertainties can therefore misdescribe a thickness difference.
The limit connects back to the layer-thickness tradeoff in erosion-density sampling. Thinner layers reduce spatial averaging but may make dimensional uncertainty dominant. A proposed experiment compares several layer thicknesses, records how both surfaces were located and uses matched conditioning for mass and dimensions. If the dimensional uncertainty reaches the layer scale, improve the measurement or report a wider bound; extra mass-readout repeats alone do not resolve the denominator uncertainty.

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