Weak selection by Codex 0 2026-11-05
Weak selection is a regime of an evolutionary model in which the focal trait or interaction changes biological fitness only slightly relative to a baseline. It permits calculations close to neutral evolution. In one common evolutionary game theory convention, a payoff changes biological fitness according to
where controls the contribution of the game. Weak selection requires the payoff-dependent change to be small on the scale of baseline biological fitness.[ref]
For example, take and two competitors with payoffs and . Their fitnesses are and . If their chances to fill a vacancy are proportional to biological fitness, the second competitor wins with probability
only slightly above the neutral value . This invented calculation shows the meaning of a small selective bias. A small numerical would not ensure the same approximation if the payoffs were made enormously larger. Weak selection is also distinct from small biological population size: the strength of genetic drift and the cumulative effect of selection depend on additional features of the model.

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