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Nucleation forms a sufficiently large region of a new phase within an old metastable phase. In classical nucleation theory, positive surface energy competes with bulk free-energy gain, producing a critical nucleus and a barrier to conversion. The Arrhenius nucleation time depends exponentially on this barrier; boundaries and impurities can alter it. This explains how metastability and hysteresis can persist despite a different globally stable phase.

A subcritical droplet must make a rare thermal fluctuation from the metastable basin over the free-energy barrier $F^{\ast }$. Its probability carries the Boltzmann factor $e^{-F^{\ast }/(k_{B}T)}$, so the nucleation rate has the Arrhenius formFor a volume containing order one candidate subcritical droplet, the waiting time for a supercritical droplet and subsequent macroscopic growth is thereforeup to an algebraic kinetic prefactor. This is the Arrhenius nucleation time.