Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 35 2 e 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Start with the Beta distribution draw in the Beta-binomial exchangeable coupling. Write andThese are the expected value and variance of . The fixed in this coupling is a dependence parameter chosen by the investigator, not necessarily the observed number of cups. The four numbered stages together address the single printed correlation request.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 35 2 j Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
For each auxiliary count , the correctly normalized joint expression above is symmetric in . Summing it over preserves that symmetry, so these are exchangeable random variables. Their marginal distributions are therefore identical. Since was generated from a Beta distribution,The Beta-binomial exchangeable coupling changes the dependence, while leaving both prior distributions unchanged.