Introduce a model indicator . In , set , hence , and retain the two group effects. In , include with the prior induced by the gamma baseline. Choose positive prior model probabilities summing to one; the supplied within-model parameter priors alone do not specify these probabilities.
Let , use the same proper prior in both models, and denote their likelihoods by and . The unnormalized joint model targets are
For a birth move, draw an auxiliary from a positive probability density function and map to . The reverse death move simply deletes . This is a dimension-matching bijection with absolute Jacobian one. If the birth and death selection probabilities are and , respectively, the birth and death moves for Bayesian variable selection rule gives
The reverse acceptance is the reciprocal ratio, capped at one, evaluated at the current . Choosing cancels the added-parameter prior; a data-informed proposal may mix better but must retain its proposal factor. Within each model, also update its continuous parameters to ensure exploration.
For an explicit likelihood ratio, with and from part (ii),
This supplies a complete reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo move. Its acceptance probabilities enforce detailed balance between the two dimensions. The lower-dimensional state is a separate point-mass model, not a zero-probability equality test inside the continuous full-model prior.
The cross-model target must include a model-order prior . Write its joint, unnormalized density as
Here the prior densities are normalized within each model. In particular their -dependent determinants and powers of cannot be dropped merely because the fixed-model posterior in part (i) was given up to proportionality.
For explicit birth and death moves for Bayesian variable selection, choose a birth with probability , generate from a density , append as the new covariate coefficient, and leave unchanged. The map from to is invertible under the reverse deletion and has absolute Jacobian one. It matches dimensions: the smaller-model coefficients and variance have dimension , and the one auxiliary draw supplies the larger-model dimension . If the reverse death is selected with probability , accept with
For a death, delete the last coefficient , retain the others and the variance, and use
To verify detailed balance, multiply the birth acceptance by and the reverse death acceptance by . Both equal the minimum of these two quantities in the matched coordinates. This proves reversibility without merely naming a dimension-changing algorithm. A more general bijection introduces its absolute Jacobian, and random choices among several covariates introduce the corresponding forward and reverse selection probabilities. Add within-model updates so that coefficients and variance can explore each model. These are reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo updates; the unspecified model prior and proposal density must be supplied to implement them numerically.