Derivative-weighted call delta martingale 2026-10-14
Suppose is bounded and let , . The Novikov condition makes a strictly positive true martingale. For solving the call delta equation for a driftless local volatility diffusion, the product formula givesThe two drift terms cancel through quadratic covariation. Thus is a local martingale. If it is a true martingale on the closed horizon, its terminal value is , soThe upper bound uses . Equivalently, the option delta is the terminal-exceedance probability under the measure with density .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 32 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
The boundedness of makes globally Lipschitz, so the stock stochastic differential equation has a nonexplosive strong solution. Since is bounded, is a square-integrable martingale on every finite horizon. Apply Itô formula to the option price:Thus both the stock and the option are local martingales under the original probability measure, while cash is constant. The relevant no-arbitrage theorem is the sufficient direction of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing: a common equivalent measure under which all numéraire-denominated traded prices are local martingales excludes arbitrage by admissible trading strategies. In this case the original measure itself is an equivalent local martingale measure. Hence the augmented market has no admissible arbitrage. The nonnegative option-value assumption also makes the replicating wealth below admissible.
SetDifferentiating the pricing equation in the stock-price variable givesThe limiting terminal derivative is away from the strike. Its value at the strike may be assigned as the stated : the smooth positive diffusion coefficient gives a continuous terminal distribution, so that point has probability zero. This is the call delta equation for a driftless local volatility diffusion.
Hold shares and units of cash. The portfolio value is , and the preceding Itô calculation gives , with . It is therefore a self-financing portfolio, with initial wealth and terminal wealth . This proves replication by the stated delta hedge.
A further application of Itô formula, now to , yieldsThe density process is the strictly positive stochastic exponentialIts integrand is bounded, so the Novikov condition proves that it is a true martingale. The product formula for givesThe drift in cancels this quadratic covariation term, leavingThus is a local martingale; the expression also identifies its stochastic integral integrand explicitly.
Under the stated assumption that is a true martingale on , its terminal value givesSince and , division givesThis is the derivative-weighted call delta martingale argument. It uses true martingality through maturity, not just local martingality before the terminal date.