Finite-horizon maximum of Brownian motion with negative drift Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-05
For ,
This follows from the Brownian reflection principle weighted by the Cameron-Martin theorem for a linear drift.
Apply Cameron-Martin theorem to the absolutely continuous path up to and thereafter. Its derivative is on and zero later, so the Radon-Nikodym factor is , yielding the formula for every bounded measurable functional of the path after .
The Cameron-Martin theorem for a linear drift changes the density of Brownian paths through time by
At the driftless hitting time , the endpoint is . Multiplying its given density by the likelihood therefore yields
Set
and define on by
The Cameron-Martin theorem for a linear drift says that
is a Brownian motion under . Therefore
The discounted stock is an exponential Brownian martingale, so is a -martingale. Thus is a Risk-neutral measure for the Black-Scholes model.
Let and . Split the crossing event according to its endpoint:
Under the Cameron-Martin theorem for a linear drift, the law of relative to standard Wiener measure has endpoint density
On paths that cross and end at , the Brownian reflection principle reflects the path after its first hit of and changes the endpoint to . Under this reflection the density becomes
The remaining exponential is the Cameron--Martin density for drift . Therefore
where the last equality uses the symmetry of the normal distribution. Subtracting the crossing probability from one gives
Equivalently, in terms of the standard normal distribution function,
This is the finite-horizon maximum of Brownian motion with negative drift formula.
Under the Cameron-Martin theorem for a linear drift, the probability that Brownian motion with drift reaches is
Using the supplied Laplace transform with gives
and hence
This is the survival function of the exponential distribution with rate .