Nonrelativistic matter dilutes as , while a cosmological constant has constant energy density. The ratio of vacuum energy density to matter density consequently scales as , so comparable contributions occur during a limited epoch. The cosmic coincidence problem asks why observers find these very different components comparable near their own epoch. This timing puzzle is distinct from the cosmological constant problem, which concerns the tiny absolute vacuum-energy scale.
The numerical fractions describe physically very different components. Use so that pressure and energy density have the same units. The stress-energy conservation equation for a homogeneous component, together with its equation of state , gives
Nonrelativistic baryons and cold dark matter have and dilute as ; radiation has and dilutes as ; vacuum energy has and remains constant. The curvature term scales as in the Friedmann equation but is a geometric contribution, not an additional material fluid.
There is consequently a coincidence in the present mixture. Normalize . Then
At early times vacuum is negligible, while at late times it dominates overwhelmingly. Observing order-unity matter and vacuum fractions during their comparatively recent crossover motivates the cosmic coincidence problem: why should this crossover occur near our observing epoch?
The absolute scale gives a second puzzle. Restoring SI units, yields
Its energy density is . Quantum vacuum contributions associated with ordinary particle-physics scales can be far larger than this observed value. Explaining the tiny net value, including cancellations among contributions, is the cosmological constant problem. The required negative pressure also differs qualitatively from ordinary dilute matter.
The matter budget supplies another explanatory gap: only is baryonic, while must be nonbaryonic matter in this benchmark. Together with in vacuum energy, most of the cosmic density is in components whose microscopic explanation is not supplied by fitting their fractions. Finally, near-zero curvature raises the flatness problem. For nonzero ,
During radiation domination , so ; during matter domination , so . Near-flatness today therefore requires extremely small early curvature in an unmodified decelerating history. Cosmic inflation offers a mechanism that reduces this curvature fraction through accelerated expansion.
The apparent contrivances are the recent matter-vacuum coincidence, the tiny vacuum-energy scale, the near-flat initial geometry and the unexplained microscopic dark components. Their observationally inferred values impose concrete requirements on a deeper physical account.