For weights summing to one, collect the exact portfolio return as
The desired approximation means that , for example in mean-square convergence. Centering the residuals gives , but its variance is
This identifies an omission in the printed hypotheses: bounded individual variances do not control the cross terms. Indeed, take for every , where is a nondegenerate centered random variable with . Equal weights for any retain at every . The claimed diversification conclusion does not follow from the printed assumptions alone.
Under the usual extra assumption that the residuals are pairwise uncorrelated and the weights are nonnegative, the advertised calculation is
The Chebyshev inequality then gives . Alternatively, signed weights satisfying give the bound . These are instances of the covariance criterion for diversification of factor residuals. More generally, with that absolute weight bound, suffices.
If short selling are allowed, the printed one-sided weight bound is another insufficiency. Choose , put and for , and let only be a nondegenerate centered residual. For all sufficiently large the one-sided bounds hold, but never vanishes. Thus nonnegative weights or an absolute bound is needed.
With the repaired assumptions, well-diversified portfolios become approximately exposed only to the common factors, and their residual standard deviation is in the uncorrelated case. The averaged coefficients may depend on ; convergence to fixed coefficients needs additional assumptions. In the associated asymptotic arbitrage pricing theory, diversifiable risk cannot command a persistent premium in well-diversified portfolios under absence of asymptotic arbitrage, while common-factor exposure can. This does not prove an exact pricing equation for every individual noisy asset from the finite-market hypotheses alone.
Portfolio diversification 2026-10-14
Spreading a portfolio across assets can reduce risk that is not shared by them. For centered asset risks with covariance matrix , the variance of the weighted risk is . Equal weights across independent risks with common variance give variance , whereas equal weights across risks that are all the same random variable leave variance . Thus small individual weights do not by themselves remove common risk; the covariance criterion for diversification of factor residuals identifies sufficient dependence and weight conditions.