The printed line-density statement is incorrect for a phase-mixed orbit. A steady line density on a Kepler orbit is inversely proportional to speed: for a cross-sectional-area current , the area per unit arc length is . Equivalently, phase mixing gives , uniform in mean anomaly, where is the orbital period.
For an optically thin population of blackbodies in radiative equilibrium, a fragment absorbs and reradiates the same luminosity. Thus the fractional luminosity of a phase-mixed eccentric wire is
The specific angular momentum gives , so the integral is . Since ,
This derives the intended result after explicitly correcting the density to .
The error is consequential. If one instead imposes the literal density , its time weighting is . Using , and gives
At this is times the printed result. The inverse-radius averages can also be obtained directly with eccentric anomaly , and .
Use an edge-on orbit and an equatorial, effectively central chord. Near the foreground crossing the radial velocity is along the line of sight; the projected transverse speed is . In the small stellar-angular-radius limit, , the crossing time is .
The cross-sectional-area current therefore places an area
in front of the stellar disk. For an optically thin wire and a uniformly bright stellar disk, transit dimming by an optically thin orbital wire gives
This is a linear occultation estimate, requiring negligible overlap and a fractional dimming much smaller than one. A finite impact parameter shortens the chord; limb darkening, finite wire thickness and variation of across a large stellar angular extent modify the coefficient. The estimate cannot be extrapolated to dimming greater than unity.
On the corrected steady phase-mixed orbit, each fragment crosses a fixed orbital longitude once per orbital period. Hence the cross-sectional-area current through that point is
From the fractional luminosity of a phase-mixed eccentric wire, . Therefore the area rate at the foreground crossing of the line of sight is
Only the foreground segment blocks the star; the far-side intersection does not add another occultation current. The orbital area current is constant because the line density varies as , even though the local orbital speed varies.
For an edge-on orbit crossing the centre of a uniformly bright stellar disk at distance , projected speed is and chord time is . A steady cross-sectional-area current therefore places area in front of the star, giving
This requires a geometrically narrow, optically thin wire with negligible overlap. A noncentral chord, limb darkening, finite angular extent and large optical depth change the estimate; it cannot predict dimming greater than one.