Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 33 2 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
For the unit-rate exponential distribution, direct integration givesFor , maximizing gives , and therefore . For the supremum is infinite, as seen by taking .
For , is increasing on , and its continuity gives . The closed-set upper bound and open-set lower bound of the Cramér theorem squeeze the desired limit to . For , both infima are , because and as . For , the strong law of large numbers gives almost surely, so the tail probability tends to ; at it is identically .
Consequently the exponential sample-mean upper-tail rate isThe threshold case uses the rate-function lower bound on the open half-line, rather than applying the law of large numbers at equality.