Use the Gaussian sampling model with known , and the independent prior with . A Gaussian prior alone is not enough to imply the ridge result without this likelihood assumption. The posterior distribution is proportional to
Maximizing it is equivalent to minimizing the ridge objective with . More explicitly, complete the square. The posterior precision, covariance matrix and mean are
Consequently the Gaussian posterior representation of ridge regression is
A tighter prior, smaller , implies stronger shrinkage; larger observation-noise variance at fixed prior scale also increases the penalty. The posterior covariance is , not the frequentist sampling covariance of the ridge estimator, which is . If an intercept is to remain unpenalized, give only the slopes this proper Gaussian prior and center the design and responses.