Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 iii Paper 206 6 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
There is a literal domain error in the printed formula. A semivariogram indexed by a signed displacement must satisfy , since reversing the two observations leaves the squared increment unchanged. For positive or , the displayed positive-lag value is nonzero whereas the displayed negative-lag value is zero. Thus the claim on all of is false as written.
Interpret the argument as a nonnegative distance, or use the even extension of the Gaussian semivariogram. For and , the intended model isIt admits the covariogramThe Gaussian kernel is a positive-definite kernel, as can be seen from the Fourier transform of a Gaussian: in one dimensionand the nonnegative spectral density makes every finite covariance quadratic form nonnegative. In higher dimensions use the product Gaussian density. Adding independent Gaussian white noise of variance adds the diagonal nugget covariance. Thus a zero-mean stationary Gaussian random field exists with this covariance, and gives the corrected semivariogram.
For nonzero structured variance, the nugget effect is the right limit at zero, the sill of a semivariogram is , and the range of a semivariogram is infinite if defined as the distance at which the sill is exactly reached. A 95-percent practical range solves :The scale is sometimes called the range parameter; it is neither the exact range nor the 95-percent practical range. If , there is no nontrivial structured range.
The fact that a semivariogram does not determine stationarity is a further distinction: a semivariogram specifies increment variation, not a unique process or absolute covariance. Adding an independent random constant adds a constant to without changing . More strongly, subtracting from a stationary field preserves its semivariogram but generally makes its variance depend on . The corrected statement is that this semivariogram admits a second-order stationary model, with the displayed covariance using the usual convention at large distance; it does not force every compatible process to be stationary.
Practical range 2026-10-05
Range of a semivariogram 2026-10-05
The exact range is a separation beyond which the semivariogram reaches its sill. A Gaussian semivariogram with nonzero structured variance approaches its sill asymptotically and therefore has infinite exact range. Software range parameters may instead specify a scale.