Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 205 3 Solution 2026-09-28
Under , conditional independence givesMultiplication by the measurable sign and the law of total expectation prove the first identity.
WriteThenConditional orthogonality under and the variance bounds in (ii) giveand similarly for the term containing . The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality bounds the last term bywhich is by .
The leading summands are independent, centered, and have variance because . The central limit theorem and consistency of therefore give, by the Slutsky theorem,This is the generalized covariance measure statistic.
If the numerator of the generalized covariance measure statistic obeys a central limit theorem with variance and its empirical residual-product second moment converges in probability to the same positive quantity, the Slutsky theorem makes the studentized statistic converge in distribution to .