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For the three unordered evolved pairs, conditional independence gives the slice probabilities $g^2$, $2gw=8g^2$ and $w^2=16g^2$. Averaging over the shared age in the coeval binary population yieldsThus their system-number ratio is $1:8:16$, as required.

For the unheaded instantaneous-burst continuation, put $\tau =t/\mathrm{Gyr}$, with $0<\tau <10$. All binary stars now have the same age, so the individual red giant fraction is $g=\tau /1000$. Independent component masses give the giant-pair fraction in an instantaneous stellar burst, the two-giant system fractionThe final comparison has an ambiguity about which population is being counted. Taken literally as a comparison with the first galaxy's individual-star giant fraction $0.005$, it would require $\tau >\sqrt{5000}\simeq 70.71$. There is no allowed burst age: throughout $0<\tau <10$, the two-giant fraction is less than $10^{-4}$, well below $0.005$.

If the intended comparison instead concerns two-giant systems in both galaxies, the comparison fraction is $1/30000$. Then ${\tau }^2/10^6>1/30000$ givesFor completeness, a comparison of individual red giant fractions in both galaxies would give $5\mathrm{Gyr}<t<10\mathrm{Gyr}$. These three comparisons have different denominators and should not be conflated.