Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 23 3 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
One alternative is a stochastic volatility model, such as the Heston model:The parameters satisfy and , and . The square-root Itô diffusion has a nonnegative solution; is a standard sufficient condition for the positive initial variance not to hit zero. Mean reversion of allows persistent high- and low-volatility episodes, and negative can produce the empirical association between falling prices and rising volatility. Mixtures of conditional return distributions produce richer tails and option implied volatility shapes than constant-volatility geometric Brownian motion.
For data showing volatility clustering and option smiles, this is often a more useful fit. It is not universally superior: more parameters create estimation and calibration uncertainty, the model is more expensive to use, and its continuous price paths still exclude price jumps. With two independent noise directions and only a stock and a bank account, the market is generally incomplete, so a volatility risk premium or an extra traded instrument is needed for unique contingent claim pricing. The alternative improves flexibility at the cost of calibration and hedging complexity.