Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio 2026-10-14
The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio divides an intervention's additional mean cost by its additional mean effect relative to a comparator. Its units are cost per outcome unit. When both increments are positive, comparison with a threshold is equivalent to checking whether the incremental net monetary benefit is positive. When the inequality reverses on division, and when the ratio is undefined. A ratio alone cannot identify the quadrant of the cost-effectiveness plane.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 41 5 iii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio must be read with the signs of both increments. A negative ratio can mean either greater effectiveness at lower cost, which is favorable, or lower effectiveness at greater cost, which is unfavorable. A positive ratio can likewise lie in either the more-costly/more-effective or cheaper/less-effective quadrant. Thus ordering ratio values without locating the cost-effectiveness plane quadrant can reverse a decision.
The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio is undefined at a zero effect increment and extremely unstable near it. Its sampling distribution can be highly skewed and its mean may fail to exist; a usual symmetric confidence interval or an interval spanning positive and negative ratios can conceal that instability. Cost-effect correlation must be retained, as the Fieller confidence set calculation illustrates.
Interpretation also requires a specified comparator, effect unit, costing perspective, follow-up horizon and willingness-to-pay threshold. Different comparator choices give different incremental ratios, and lower ratios alone do not settle decisions across differently scaled outcomes. Longer survival need not mean a proportional quality-of-life gain; extrapolation, censored outcomes and omitted costs can affect the increments. Point estimates conceal both sampling uncertainty and uncertainty in these assumptions.
For a positive effect increment, comparison with a threshold is equivalent to . For negative effect increments that inequality reverses when multiplied by , so a rule that blindly compares all ratios with is wrong. Use the signs and joint cost/effect uncertainty, or the incremental net monetary benefit , rather than the ratio alone. No particular threshold is given in the paper, so the point estimate does not establish whether reimbursement should occur.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 41 5 i Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let and be the new-minus-standard mean cost and survival increments. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio isUsing days per year, this is £14,600 per additional life-year. It is not cost per quality-adjusted life-year because no quality-of-life adjustment is supplied. Both point-estimated increments are positive, so the new intervention exchanges higher cost for longer survival; this is not dominance.