Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 221 3 iii d Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
This conditional independence is implied. Fixing the mediator at removes the directed edge in the relevant counterfactual graph. Conditioning on blocks , while conditioning on blocks . Every remaining path is blocked by the m-separation criterion, so
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 221 3 iii e Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
This conditional independence is implied. In the graph for , the incoming causal value of has been fixed, so the path no longer transmits association to . The only possible route through contains a collider, and conditioning on blocks the common-cause path through . Hence m-separation gives