A sufficient statistic is one for which the conditional distribution of the full sample, given its value, is independent of the parameter. For independent observations the likelihood is , depending on the data only through the counts. The factorization criterion for sufficiency therefore makes sufficient. Directly, all ordered samples with given counts have the same probability, so their conditional distribution is uniform over the possible arrangements, independently of the .
The unrestricted maximum-likelihood estimator is . Thus the generalized likelihood-ratio test uses
with zero-count terms interpreted by continuity. Reject for small , equivalently large .
Write , so . A Taylor series expansion of gives . Summing cancels the linear terms, and yields
Under the null hypothesis, the multinomial central limit theorem places the standardized count deviations in the five-dimensional subspace with coordinate sum zero, with identity covariance on that subspace. Their squared norm consequently tends to the chi-squared distribution with five degrees of freedom. This gives the Pearson chi-squared goodness-of-fit test.
For , the asymptotic p-value is about . The 5% critical value of is approximately . Do not reject at the usual 5% level, or at 10%. A significance level is not specified in the paper, so an unconditional yes-or-no decision is not determined: using this approximation, rejection would require a chosen level at least about .